SignalMacro

CBOE Nasdaq Volatility $21.71 ↑ 8.3% 17th %ile (complacency) • KXNASDAQ100Y 4.0% — 32,000 to 32,499.99

Kalshi: KXNASDAQ100Y 4.0% — Will the Nasdaq-100 be between 32000 and 32499.99 at the end of Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?

What changed

Kalshi: KXNASDAQ100Y 4.0% — Will the Nasdaq-100 be between 32000 and 32499.99 at the end of Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST? Percentile: 17th in 90d range | Regime: complacency

Why it matters

Volatility down 50.1% to 2nd percentile signals extreme greed, boosting odds for Nasdaq-100 year-end range.

Sources

futures